Models

CoreValue Research · Model v2026.Q2

Cisco revenue scenarios to 2028

CSCO · Data as of · Reviewed quarterly

Base case
$79B
11.9% CAGR · $19B EBIT

Projected revenue by year ($bn)

Scenario 2026 2027 2028 CAGR
Base 63 71 79 11.9%

Assumptions

Segment FY25 revenue Op. margin Bear Base Bull σ measured
Total revenue $56.7B 24% 11.9% 0.0pp

Method

Revenue is compounded from the FY25 actual at a constant annual rate, and operating income, net income and free cash flow apply CoreValue Research's projected margins to it.

The base case is CoreValue Research's estimate. It is the analyst's own forecast for each line.

No bear or bull range is published for this company yet. Our ranges are not chosen — their width is the measured sample standard deviation of each segment's realised growth, which we cannot compute until that company's segment history is loaded into our database. Rather than invent a range, we show the base case alone until the history is in. The companies that do carry a range show it as the base case minus and plus a quarter of that measured σ.

CoreValue Research publishes a base case for this company. A bear and bull range is the base case plus or minus a quarter of a standard deviation of realised growth, which cannot be measured until the segment history is loaded, so no range is shown rather than an invented one.

Citation — CoreValue Research, “Cisco revenue scenarios to 2028”, model v2026.Q2, August 11, 2026. Base case: $79B revenue and $19B operating income in 2028, assuming revenue grows 11.9% a year.